Decision Making

New PDF release: A World of Chance: Betting on Religion, Games, Wall Street

By Reuven Brenner

ISBN-10: 0511424167

ISBN-13: 9780511424168

ISBN-10: 0521884667

ISBN-13: 9780521884662

Even if monetary markets frequently try and distance themselves from playing, the 2 components have way more in universal than frequently proposal. whilst, traditionally there have been no monetary associations akin to banks, lotteries constituted the methods through which dear goods have been disposed of, and governments raised cash speedy. playing tables fulfilled roles that enterprise capital and banking do at the present time. "Gamblers" created clearinghouses and sustained liquidity. while these gamblers wager on fee distributions in futures markets, they have been redefined as "speculators." this present day they're referred to as "hedge fund managers" or "bankers." although the names have replaced, the activities undertaken have basically stayed a similar. This booklet exhibits how dialogue on "chance," "risk," "gambling," "insurance," and "speculation" illuminates the place societies stood, the place we're this present day, and the place we could be heading.

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Extra info for A World of Chance: Betting on Religion, Games, Wall Street

Example text

A great deal is lost also through the unthrifty habits of his wife. Her experience at out-door labour has been acquired at the expense of an adequate knowledge of her in-door duties. 28 (Now one can speculate and blame the Industrial Revolution for the origins of the not-so-palatable traditional English food. A similar process may be taking place now, as more men and women work and have little time to learn how to cook or clean. ) Again, the difference between poor and rich people’s outlooks is clear.

But they also corrected those mistakes and others quickly. There is no science to making decisions in the face of uncertainty – incalculable risks, that is. There cannot be. But there are ways to manage such uncertainty: the best way is to rely on information drawn from the bets of millions of people who put up money to back their ideas and challenge their luck. Some may bring up the much-publicized bankruptcy of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) as a counterexample. But that case, just as the present subprime mortgage sequence of events, strengthens rather than weakens the points made previously.

Various commissions at the end of the nineteenth century could find no causal relationship between gambling and poverty, or between gambling and crime (other than that gambling was illegal, and P1: KXF/SCY P2: KXF/KAA P3: KXF/KAA QC: 9780521884662c02 CUUS191/Brenner 978 0 521 88466 2 28 June 16, 2008 13:33 Reuven Brenner and Gabrielle A. Brenner those who played were criminals. This accusation, though, is similar to those made under communism against entrepreneurs, even ones who just sold homemade food.

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A World of Chance: Betting on Religion, Games, Wall Street by Reuven Brenner

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